SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 66.56%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Den Bosch had a probability of 13.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.85%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.47%), while for a Den Bosch win it was 0-1 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roda JC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Roda JC | Draw | Den Bosch |
66.56% ( -0.5) | 19.9% ( 0.31) | 13.54% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 47.95% ( -0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.29% ( -0.93) | 45.71% ( 0.92) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.97% ( -0.89) | 68.03% ( 0.88) |
| Roda JC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.17% ( -0.42) | 12.83% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.83% ( -0.87) | 39.17% ( 0.86) |
| Den Bosch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55% ( -0.29) | 44.99% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.07% ( -0.23) | 80.93% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Roda JC | Draw | Den Bosch |
| 2-0 @ 12.17% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 11.85% ( 0.28)2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 4.28% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 1.76% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.96% Total : 66.56% | 1-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.78% Total : 19.9% | 0-1 @ 4.61% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 1.27% Total : 13.54% |
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