Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 1-0 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roda JC would win this match.
-0.57) 
0.72) 
