SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Den Bosch win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Den Bosch win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Den Bosch | Draw | Jong PSV |
41.24% ( -0.22) | 24.42% ( -0.11) | 34.34% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 59.46% ( 0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.71% ( 0.57) | 43.29% ( -0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.31% ( 0.56) | 65.69% ( -0.56) |
| Den Bosch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.91% ( 0.14) | 21.09% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.08% ( 0.22) | 53.91% ( -0.22) |
| Jong PSV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.35% ( 0.46) | 24.65% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.83% ( 0.63) | 59.17% ( -0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Den Bosch | Draw | Jong PSV |
| 2-1 @ 8.82% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.09% ( -0.17)2-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 4.58% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.69% Total : 41.24% | 1-1 @ 11.33% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.42% | 1-2 @ 7.93% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.28% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.7% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.76% Total : 34.34% |
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