SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Den Bosch win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Den Bosch win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Den Bosch would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Den Bosch | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
41.93% ( 0.24) | 24.02% ( -0.06) | 34.05% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 60.83% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.53% ( 0.21) | 41.46% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.13% ( 0.21) | 63.86% ( -0.21) |
| Den Bosch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80% ( 0.19) | 20% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.81% ( 0.31) | 52.19% ( -0.31) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.04% ( -0.01) | 23.96% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.81% ( -0.01) | 58.19% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Den Bosch | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
| 2-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.04% Total : 41.93% | 1-1 @ 11.01% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.01% | 1-2 @ 7.87% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.34% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 2.92% Total : 34.05% |
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