SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 45.64%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (8.27%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that ADO Den Haag would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Den Bosch | Draw | ADO Den Haag |
28.33% ( -0.25) | 26.03% ( 0.08) | 45.64% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 51.38% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.41% ( -0.44) | 52.6% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.75% ( -0.38) | 74.25% ( 0.39) |
| Den Bosch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.72% ( -0.43) | 33.28% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.1% ( -0.47) | 69.9% ( 0.48) |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.01% ( -0.11) | 22.99% ( 0.11) |
