SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 42.25%. A win for Roda JC had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Roda JC win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| NAC Breda | Draw | Roda JC |
42.25% ( -0.14) | 25.17% ( 0.01) | 32.58% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 56.29% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.81% ( -0.02) | 47.18% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.58% ( -0.02) | 69.42% ( 0.02) |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.72% ( -0.07) | 22.28% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.27% ( -0.11) | 55.73% ( 0.11) |
| Roda JC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.42% ( 0.08) | 27.57% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.9% ( 0.09) | 63.1% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| NAC Breda | Draw | Roda JC |
| 1-0 @ 9.22% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.47% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 2.31% Total : 42.25% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.14% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.17% | 0-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.65% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.91% Total : 32.58% |
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