SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 49.24%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.9%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roda JC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Roda JC | Draw | Vitesse |
49.24% ( -0.09) | 22.25% ( 0.03) | 28.52% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 64.4% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.45% ( -0.11) | 35.55% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.4% ( -0.12) | 57.61% ( 0.12) |
| Roda JC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.17% ( -0.07) | 14.83% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.87% ( -0.13) | 43.14% ( 0.14) |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.61% ( -0.02) | 24.39% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.2% ( -0.02) | 58.8% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Roda JC | Draw | Vitesse |
| 2-1 @ 9.3% 1-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.59% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.82% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.35% Total : 49.24% | 1-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.56% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.25% | 1-2 @ 6.87% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.1% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.23% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.08% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.14% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 2.7% Total : 28.52% |
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