Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 33.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
Roma	Draw	AC Milan
40.56% ( -0.01)	25.75% ( -0.01)	33.68% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 54.67% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.56% (

0.04)

49.44% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.52% (

0.04)

71.47% (

-0.04)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.9% (

0.02)

24.1% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.61% (

0.02)

58.39% (

-0.02)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.02% (

0.03)

27.98% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.38% (

0.04)

63.61% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Roma 40.56%

AC Milan 33.68%

Draw 25.75%

Roma	Draw	AC Milan
1-0 @ 9.59% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.7% 2-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.13% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.24% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.15% 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 1.9% Total : 40.56%	1-1 @ 12.22% 0-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.75%	0-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.78% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.47% 1-3 @ 3.31% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.32% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 2.81% Total : 33.68%