Though Milan were within touching distance of victory over Roma at San Siro, they ultimately had to settle for a point, and the sides may finish level again at the Olimpico. Neck-and-neck in the Serie A standings, they are closely matched this season - and the hosts are generally tough to beat on home soil.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 47.43%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 26.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
0.05) 
-0.02) 
