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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 49.97%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Roma had a probability of 24.16%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Roma win it was 0-1 (8.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Roma |
49.97% ( 0.44) | 25.87% ( -0.08) | 24.16% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 48.43% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.24% ( 0.03) | 54.76% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.93% ( 0.02) | 76.07% ( -0.02) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.04% ( 0.2) | 21.95% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.76% ( 0.31) | 55.24% ( -0.31) |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.05% ( -0.31) | 37.94% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.28% ( -0.31) | 74.71% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| AC Milan | Draw | Roma |
| 1-0 @ 12.63% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 9.58% ( 0.11)2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 4.69% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.07% Total : 49.97% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.81% Total : 25.86% | 0-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.62% Total : 24.16% |
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