SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 64.81%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 15.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-2 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Sassuolo |
64.81% ( 0.17) | 19.62% ( 0.05) | 15.57% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 54.18% ( -0.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.88% ( -0.69) | 40.12% ( 0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.51% ( -0.72) | 62.49% ( 0.72) |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.35% ( -0.16) | 11.65% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.3% ( -0.34) | 36.7% ( 0.34) |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.32% ( -0.72) | 38.68% ( 0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.58% ( -0.68) | 75.41% ( 0.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| Roma | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 2-0 @ 10.41% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0)1-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.25)3-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 3.81% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 1.72% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.91% Total : 64.81% | 1-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.62% | 1-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.01% Total : 15.57% |
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