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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 12
Aug 26, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Dr. Lisandro de la Torre
AT

Rosario
1 - 0
Tucuman

Gimenez (83')
Quintana (79'), Giaccone (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

de los Santos (90+2')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Rosario Central and Atletico Tucuman.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fortaleza 3-1 Rosario
Wednesday, August 21 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Tucuman 2-0 Estudiantes
Sunday, August 18 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 40.94%. A draw had a probability of 30.5% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 28.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.47%) and 2-1 (7.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.53%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rosario Central in this match.

Result
Rosario CentralDrawAtletico Tucuman
40.94% (2.097 2.1) 30.55% (0.316 0.32) 28.51% (-2.414 -2.41)
Both teams to score 39.43% (-1.579 -1.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.33% (-1.48 -1.48)67.67% (1.479 1.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.29% (-1 -1)85.71% (1 1)
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.34% (0.496 0.5)32.67% (-0.497 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.79% (0.553 0.55)69.21% (-0.554 -0.55)
Atletico Tucuman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.56% (-2.796 -2.8)41.44% (2.796 2.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.06% (-2.558 -2.56)77.94% (2.558 2.56)
Score Analysis
    Rosario Central 40.93%
    Atletico Tucuman 28.51%
    Draw 30.54%
Rosario CentralDrawAtletico Tucuman
1-0 @ 15.14% (1 1)
2-0 @ 8.47% (0.666 0.67)
2-1 @ 7.46% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.16% (0.288 0.29)
3-1 @ 2.78% (0.053 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.23% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 40.93%
0-0 @ 13.53% (0.72 0.72)
1-1 @ 13.34% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 3.29% (-0.241 -0.24)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 30.54%
0-1 @ 11.92% (-0.26 -0.26)
1-2 @ 5.88% (-0.517 -0.52)
0-2 @ 5.25% (-0.54 -0.54)
1-3 @ 1.73% (-0.3 -0.3)
0-3 @ 1.54% (-0.293 -0.29)
2-3 @ 0.97% (-0.152 -0.15)
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 28.51%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Fortaleza 3-1 Rosario
Wednesday, August 21 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Independiente 1-0 Rosario
Saturday, August 17 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Rosario 1-1 Fortaleza
Wednesday, August 14 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Rosario 1-0 Newell's OB
Saturday, August 10 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Gimnasia 0-1 Rosario
Monday, August 5 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Gimnasia 0-1 Rosario
Monday, August 5 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tucuman 2-0 Estudiantes
Sunday, August 18 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: San Lorenzo 0-1 Tucuman
Saturday, August 10 at 6.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tucuman 2-1 Independiente Rivadavia
Monday, August 5 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Barracas Central 0-2 Tucuman
Monday, July 29 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tucuman 1-0 Instituto
Friday, July 26 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Banfield 1-1 Tucuman
Saturday, July 20 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division


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