Rosario experienced a significant dip in form over the last few months but they have shown improvement under caretaker manager Matias Lequi, who is yet to taste defeat in his new role.
However, Fortaleza have been rock solid for the majority of this season, both domestically and in this competition, and we feel they will keep this tie level heading into their home leg next week.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 43.07%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 27.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 2-1 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.21%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
0.03) 
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