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Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Nov 20, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estadio Gigante de Arroyito
AT

Rosario
3 - 1
Tucuman

Ojeda (21'), Vecchio (45+2', 74')
Ojeda (28'), Infantino (59')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Benitez (85')
Ortiz (25')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Rosario Central and Atletico Tucuman.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 53.01%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 22.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosario Central would win this match.

Result
Rosario CentralDrawAtletico Tucuman
53.01%24.3%22.68%
Both teams to score 51.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.01%49.98%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.03%71.96%
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.19%18.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.77%50.22%
Atletico Tucuman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.34%36.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.55%73.44%
Score Analysis
    Rosario Central 53%
    Atletico Tucuman 22.68%
    Draw 24.29%
Rosario CentralDrawAtletico Tucuman
1-0 @ 11.51%
2-1 @ 9.66%
2-0 @ 9.63%
3-1 @ 5.38%
3-0 @ 5.36%
3-2 @ 2.7%
4-1 @ 2.25%
4-0 @ 2.24%
4-2 @ 1.13%
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 53%
1-1 @ 11.55%
0-0 @ 6.89%
2-2 @ 4.85%
3-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.29%
0-1 @ 6.92%
1-2 @ 5.8%
0-2 @ 3.47%
1-3 @ 1.94%
2-3 @ 1.62%
0-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 22.68%

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