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League Two | Gameweek 22
Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Moor Lane
B

Salford City
3 - 0
Barrow

Garbutt (21'), Fornah (33'), Kouassi (80')
Stockton (9'), Fornah (37'), Lund (37')
Fornah (84')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Feely (37'), Ashley (73'), Popov (73')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Accrington 0-2 Salford City
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 2-0 Fleetwood
Saturday, December 21 at 12.30pm in League Two

We said: Salford City 2-1 Barrow

Salford are flying high at the moment and will certainly take some stopping, especially in front of their fans.   While we expect Barrow to be no pushovers, we are also backing the home side to get the job done, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 51.84%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Barrow had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Barrow win it was 0-1 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.

Result
Salford CityDrawBarrow
51.84% (0.184 0.18) 24.76% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 23.4% (-0.195 -0.2)
Both teams to score 50.89% (-0.248 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.88% (-0.22 -0.22)51.12% (0.217 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.03% (-0.191 -0.19)72.97% (0.18899999999999 0.19)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.3% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)19.7% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.29% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)51.7% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.37% (-0.301 -0.3)36.62% (0.29799999999999 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.59% (-0.301 -0.3)73.41% (0.29899999999999 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Salford City 51.84%
    Barrow 23.4%
    Draw 24.75%
Salford CityDrawBarrow
1-0 @ 11.72% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 9.52% (0.075999999999999 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.18% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 5.16% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.1% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 2.09% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 51.84%
1-1 @ 11.77%
0-0 @ 7.22% (0.063 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.8% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 24.75%
0-1 @ 7.25% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 5.91% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.64% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.98% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.22% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 23.4%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Accrington 0-2 Salford City
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 3-0 Notts County
Saturday, December 14 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 Salford City
Saturday, December 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 2-0 Harrogate
Tuesday, December 3 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 2-0 Cheltenham
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Doncaster 1-1 Salford City
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 2-0 Fleetwood
Saturday, December 21 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 1-0 Barrow
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 1-1 Barrow
Tuesday, December 3 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Chesterfield 1-0 Barrow
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 1-3 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 3-0 Aston Villa U21s
Tuesday, November 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy


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