Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.79%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Salford City in this match.
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