Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 55.95%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for FeralpiSalo had a probability of 20.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a FeralpiSalo win it was 0-1 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
-0.01) 
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