Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 45.57%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 26.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.03%) and 2-1 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.89%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brescia would win this match.
-0.06) 
0.41) 
