Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 53.62%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for FeralpiSalo had a probability of 19.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.69%) and 1-2 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a FeralpiSalo win it was 1-0 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
FeralpiSalo | Draw | Bari |
19.31% ( -0.1) | 27.06% ( 0.04) | 53.62% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 39.79% ( -0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.99% ( -0.2) | 63.01% ( 0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.52% ( -0.15) | 82.48% ( 0.15) |
FeralpiSalo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.26% ( -0.23) | 47.74% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.96% ( -0.17) | 83.04% ( 0.18) |
Bari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.14% ( -0.06) | 23.86% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.94% ( -0.09) | 58.05% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
FeralpiSalo | Draw | Bari |
1-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.22% Total : 19.32% | 1-1 @ 12.07% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.39% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.4% Total : 27.06% | 0-1 @ 16.32% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 11.69% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.65% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 5.59% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.13% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 2% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.24% Total : 53.62% |
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