Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 53.73%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 21.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
0.16) 
-0.06) 
