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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Samsunspor win with a probability of 58.66%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 19.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Samsunspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 0-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Samsunspor in this match.
| Result | ||
| Samsunspor | Draw | Fatih Karagumruk |
58.66% ( 0.71) | 21.98% ( -0.19) | 19.35% ( -0.52) |
| Both teams to score 53.93% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.75% ( 0.12) | 44.25% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.37% ( 0.12) | 66.62% ( -0.12) |
| Samsunspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.24% ( 0.27) | 14.76% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57% ( 0.52) | 43% ( -0.52) |
| Fatih Karagumruk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.27% ( -0.47) | 36.72% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.49% ( -0.48) | 73.51% ( 0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Samsunspor | Draw | Fatih Karagumruk |
| 1-0 @ 10.37% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.92% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 6.34% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.03% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.69% Total : 58.66% | 1-1 @ 10.38% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.98% | 0-1 @ 5.43% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.7% Total : 19.35% |
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