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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 40.54%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 36.33% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.43%) and 0-2 (5.41%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Los Angeles Galaxy in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Los Angeles Galaxy.
| Result | ||
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
36.33% ( -0.31) | 23.14% ( -0.01) | 40.54% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 64.67% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.34% ( 0.03) | 36.67% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.18% ( 0.04) | 58.82% ( -0.03) |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.45% ( -0.14) | 20.55% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.94% ( -0.22) | 53.06% ( 0.22) |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.4% ( 0.16) | 18.6% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.11% ( 0.26) | 49.89% ( -0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
| 2-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 4.25% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.52% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.01% Total : 36.33% | 1-1 @ 10.17% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.77% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.82% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2% ( 0)Other @ 0.37% Total : 23.13% | 1-2 @ 8.56% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.8% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.8% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 2.02% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.64% Total : 40.54% |
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