Houston may have found wins hard to come by in recent away games, but we still think that they will prove too strong for a San Jose side who will be low on confidence after losing seven of their last eight matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 45.39%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 30.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.

Result
San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Houston Dynamo
45.39% ( 0)	23.9%	30.71% ( -0)

Both teams to score 59.85% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.84%

42.16%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.43% (

64.56% (

-0)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.2% (

18.8% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.78% (

50.22% (

-0)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.7% (

26.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.57%

61.42% (

Score Analysis

San Jose Earthquakes 45.39%

Houston Dynamo 30.71%

Draw 23.89%

San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Houston Dynamo
2-1 @ 9.22% 1-0 @ 8.26% 2-0 @ 6.91% 3-1 @ 5.14% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.85% 3-2 @ 3.43% 4-1 @ 2.15% 4-0 @ 1.61% 4-2 @ 1.43% Other @ 3.39% Total : 45.39%	1-1 @ 11.03% 2-2 @ 6.16% 0-0 @ 4.94% 3-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.89%	1-2 @ 7.37% 0-1 @ 6.6% 0-2 @ 4.41% 1-3 @ 3.28% 2-3 @ 2.74% 0-3 @ 1.96% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.1% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.32% Total : 30.71%