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SJ
Major League Soccer
Jul 18, 2024 at 3.30am UK
Avaya Stadium
HD

Earthquakes
0 - 1
Houston


(90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Steres (87')
Bassi (15'), Herrera (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Earthquakes 1-2 Kansas
Sunday, July 14 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 1-1 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, July 14 at 2.27am in Major League Soccer

We said: San Jose Earthquakes 1-2 Houston Dynamo

Houston may have found wins hard to come by in recent away games, but we still think that they will prove too strong for a San Jose side who will be low on confidence after losing seven of their last eight matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 45.39%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 30.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawHouston Dynamo
45.39% (0.0010000000000048 0) 23.9%30.71% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 59.85% (0.002999999999993 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.84%42.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.43% (0.0020000000000024 0)64.56% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.2% (0.0019999999999953 0)18.8% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.78% (0.0020000000000024 0)50.22% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.7% (0.0010000000000048 0)26.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.57%61.42% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 45.39%
    Houston Dynamo 30.71%
    Draw 23.89%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawHouston Dynamo
2-1 @ 9.22%
1-0 @ 8.26%
2-0 @ 6.91%
3-1 @ 5.14% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.85%
3-2 @ 3.43%
4-1 @ 2.15%
4-0 @ 1.61%
4-2 @ 1.43%
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 45.39%
1-1 @ 11.03%
2-2 @ 6.16%
0-0 @ 4.94%
3-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.89%
1-2 @ 7.37%
0-1 @ 6.6%
0-2 @ 4.41%
1-3 @ 3.28%
2-3 @ 2.74%
0-3 @ 1.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.1%
2-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 30.71%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Earthquakes 1-2 Kansas
Sunday, July 14 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 1-0 Chicago Fire
Monday, July 8 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: St Louis City 2-0 Earthquakes
Thursday, July 4 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 0-3 LA Galaxy
Sunday, June 30 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 6-2 Earthquakes
Sunday, June 23 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 1-2 Portland
Thursday, June 20 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 1-1 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, July 14 at 2.27am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 3-2 Houston
Thursday, July 4 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 1-0 Charlotte FC
Sunday, June 30 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 1-4 Houston
Sunday, June 23 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 2-2 Seattle
Thursday, June 20 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 2-2 Houston
Sunday, June 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer


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