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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 49.27%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 27.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-2 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Chicago Fire |
49.27% ( -0.4) | 22.92% ( -0.09) | 27.81% ( 0.49) |
| Both teams to score 61.35% ( 0.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.68% ( 0.81) | 39.31% ( -0.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.34% ( 0.84) | 61.65% ( -0.84) |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.79% ( 0.16) | 16.2% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.31% ( 0.29) | 45.69% ( -0.29) |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.21% ( 0.76) | 26.79% ( -0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.92% ( 0.99) | 62.07% ( -0.99) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.26)2-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.2)3-1 @ 5.74% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 2.61% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.56% Total : 49.27% | 1-1 @ 10.4% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.1)0-0 @ 4.34% ( -0.17)3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.91% | 1-2 @ 6.85% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.18% Total : 27.81% |
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