Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 35.75%. A win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.52%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest San Lorenzo win was 1-0 (11.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
-0.09) 
0.1) 
