SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Sandefjord had a probability of 37.82% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.54%) and 0-2 (4.85%). The likeliest Sandefjord win was 2-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sandefjord | Draw | Lillestrom |
37.82% ( 0.44) | 22.45% ( 0.02) | 39.73% ( -0.45) |
| Both teams to score 67.55% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.01% ( -0.03) | 32.99% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.28% ( -0.04) | 54.71% ( 0.04) |
| Sandefjord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.78% ( 0.18) | 18.22% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.75% ( 0.31) | 49.25% ( -0.31) |
| Lillestrom Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.6% ( -0.2) | 17.4% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.18% ( -0.36) | 47.82% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sandefjord | Draw | Lillestrom |
| 2-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.56% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.94% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.03)4-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.9% Total : 37.82% | 1-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 7.03% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.33% ( -0)Other @ 0.49% Total : 22.45% | 1-2 @ 8.25% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 5.54% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 4.81% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 4.1% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 2.1% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.03)3-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.2% Total : 39.73% |
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