Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Sandefjord had a probability of 37.82% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.54%) and 0-2 (4.85%). The likeliest Sandefjord win was 2-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Sandefjord	Draw	Lillestrom
37.82% ( 0.44)	22.45% ( 0.02)	39.73% ( -0.45)

Both teams to score 67.55% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.01% (

-0.03)

32.99% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.28% (

-0.04)

54.71% (

0.04)

Sandefjord Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.78% (

0.18)

18.22% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.75% (

0.31)

49.25% (

-0.31)

Lillestrom Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.6% (

-0.2)

17.4% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.18% (

-0.36)

47.82% (

0.36)

Score Analysis

Sandefjord 37.82%

Lillestrom 39.73%

Draw 22.45%

Sandefjord	Draw	Lillestrom
2-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.56% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.94% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.03) 4-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.9% Total : 37.82%	1-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 7.03% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 2.33% ( -0) Other @ 0.49% Total : 22.45%	1-2 @ 8.25% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 5.54% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 4.81% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 4.1% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 2.1% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.03) 3-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.2% Total : 39.73%