SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 55.43%. A win for Valerenga Fotball had a probability of 22.99% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Valerenga Fotball win was 1-2 (5.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lillestrom would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lillestrom | Draw | Valerenga Fotball |
55.43% ( 0.26) | 21.58% ( -0.13) | 22.99% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 60.96% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.44% ( 0.46) | 37.56% ( -0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.21% ( 0.5) | 59.79% ( -0.5) |
| Lillestrom Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.46% ( 0.23) | 13.53% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.39% ( 0.46) | 40.6% ( -0.46) |
| Valerenga Fotball Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.5% ( 0.15) | 29.49% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.49% ( 0.19) | 65.51% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lillestrom | Draw | Valerenga Fotball |
| 2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.68% Total : 55.43% | 1-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.27% Total : 21.58% | 1-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.42% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.13% Total : 22.99% |
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