SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 47.86%. A win for Urawa Red Diamonds had a probability of 26.15% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest Urawa Red Diamonds win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Draw | Urawa Red Diamonds |
47.86% ( -0.11) | 25.98% ( 0) | 26.15% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 49.9% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.26% ( 0.06) | 53.74% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.78% ( 0.05) | 75.22% ( -0.05) |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.54% ( -0.03) | 22.46% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44% ( -0.04) | 56% ( 0.03) |
| Urawa Red Diamonds Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.36% ( 0.12) | 35.64% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.59% ( 0.12) | 72.41% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Draw | Urawa Red Diamonds |
| 1-0 @ 11.95% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.21% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.59% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.01% Total : 47.86% | 1-1 @ 12.33% 0-0 @ 8% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.9% Total : 25.98% | 0-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.98% Total : 26.15% |
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