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J1 League | Gameweek 29
Sep 30, 2023 at 11am UK
EDION Stadium

Hiroshima
3 - 1
Nagoya Grampus

Nakatani (72' og.), Vieira (81' pen.), Ezequiel (85')
Skibbe (45'), Ezequiel (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Junker (57')
Morishita (38'), Uchida (48'), Kawazura (77'), Langerak (77')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Nagoya Grampus.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 1-0 Hiroshima
Saturday, September 23 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 1-1 Consadole
Saturday, September 23 at 8am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 47.98%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 25.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.17%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%), while for a Nagoya Grampus win it was 0-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.

Result
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawNagoya Grampus
47.98% (0.078999999999994 0.08) 26.36% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 25.65% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Both teams to score 48.41% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.51% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)55.48% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.33% (-0.004999999999999 -0)76.67% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.85% (0.036000000000001 0.04)23.14% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.98% (0.050999999999995 0.05)57.01% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.98% (-0.064 -0.06)37.01% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.2% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)73.8% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 47.98%
    Nagoya Grampus 25.65%
    Draw 26.36%
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawNagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 12.53% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.17% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.12% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.48% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.45% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.21%
4-0 @ 1.64% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.63% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 47.98%
1-1 @ 12.46%
0-0 @ 8.57% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 26.36%
0-1 @ 8.51% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.19% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.23% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.05% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.4% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 25.65%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 1-0 Hiroshima
Saturday, September 23 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 2-0 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, September 16 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 0-2 Hiroshima
Saturday, September 2 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 0-0 Hiroshima
Saturday, August 26 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 3-2 Kawasaki
Saturday, August 19 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 2-1 Urawa
Sunday, August 13 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 1-1 Consadole
Saturday, September 23 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, September 16 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 1-1 Yokohama FC
Saturday, September 2 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 3-1 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, August 26 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Urawa 1-0 Nagoya Grampus
Friday, August 18 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 1-0 Kashima Antlers
Sunday, August 13 at 10am in J1 League


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