Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 68.41%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 13.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 0-1 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.