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J1 League | Gameweek 33
Nov 25, 2023 at 5am UK
EDION Stadium
GO

Hiroshima
3 - 0
Gamba Osaka

Mitsuta (9'), Nakano (11'), Kato (53')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Kyung-won (22'), Kurokawa (38')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Gamba Osaka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Consadole 0-0 Hiroshima
Saturday, November 11 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 1-2 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, November 11 at 6am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 68.41%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 13.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 0-1 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.

Result
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawGamba Osaka
68.41% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04) 18.57% (0.041 0.04) 13.01% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Both teams to score 50.94% (-0.154 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.04% (-0.201 -0.2)40.96% (0.201 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.65% (-0.205 -0.2)63.35% (0.20399999999999 0.2)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.06% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)10.94% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.85% (-0.146 -0.15)35.15% (0.145 0.14)
Gamba Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.19% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)42.8% (0.13 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.87% (-0.112 -0.11)79.13% (0.111 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 68.41%
    Gamba Osaka 13.01%
    Draw 18.57%
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawGamba Osaka
2-0 @ 11.46% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-0 @ 10.36% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.73% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 8.46% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.18% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 4.68% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.97% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-0 @ 2.07% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.76% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.68% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 68.41%
1-1 @ 8.79% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.68% (0.043 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.13% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 18.57%
0-1 @ 3.97% (0.022 0.02)
1-2 @ 3.73% (-0.004 -0)
0-2 @ 1.69% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.17% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.06% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 13.01%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Consadole 0-0 Hiroshima
Saturday, November 11 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 1-2 Hiroshima
Saturday, October 28 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 0-0 Cerezo
Saturday, October 21 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 3-1 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, September 30 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 1-0 Hiroshima
Saturday, September 23 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 2-0 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, September 16 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 1-2 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, November 11 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 1-0 Gamba Osaka
Saturday, October 28 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 0-1 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, October 21 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 3-0 Gamba Osaka
Sunday, October 1 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 1-3 Urawa
Sunday, September 24 at 9am in J1 League
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 1-1 Albirex Niigata
Sunday, September 17 at 11am in J1 League


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