It might be a must-not-lose match for Santa Fe, but the defensive abilities of Goias are likely going to be too much for them to break down in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Fe win with a probability of 58.07%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Goias had a probability of 17.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santa Fe win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Goias would win this match.

Result
Santa Fe	Draw	Goias
58.07% ( -0.21)	24.41% ( 0.08)	17.53% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 43.61% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.6% (

-0.12)

56.4% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.59% (

-0.1)

77.41% (

0.1)

Santa Fe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.69% (

-0.13)

19.31% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.94% (

-0.21)

51.07% (

0.21)

Goias Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.04% (

0.09)

45.96% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.31% (

0.07)

81.69% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Santa Fe 58.06%

Goias 17.53%

Draw 24.4%

Santa Fe	Draw	Goias
1-0 @ 14.59% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 12% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.11% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.65% Total : 58.06%	1-1 @ 11.34% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.56% Total : 24.4%	0-1 @ 6.9% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 1.46% Total : 17.53%