Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 65.83%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Goias had a probability of 13.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.64%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.

Result
Sao Paulo	Draw	Goias
65.83% ( -0.58)	20.6% ( 0.37)	13.57% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 45.86% (

-0.55)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.42% (

-1.07)

48.58% (

1.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.3% (

-0.98)

70.7% (

0.98)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.07% (

-0.51)

13.93% (

0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.61% (

-1.01)

41.38% (

1.02)

Goias Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.28% (

-0.32)

46.72% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.73% (

-0.25)

82.27% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

Sao Paulo 65.82%

Goias 13.57%

Draw 20.6%

Sao Paulo	Draw	Goias
1-0 @ 12.82% ( 0.32) 2-0 @ 12.64% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 8.31% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 6.32% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.46% Total : 65.82%	1-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.67% Total : 20.6%	0-1 @ 4.95% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 0.94% ( -0) 2-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.15% Total : 13.57%