SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Goias win with a probability of 54.43%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 20.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Goias win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Goias | Draw | Gimnasia |
54.43% ( 0.4) | 24.8% ( -0.18) | 20.77% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 47.48% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.05% ( 0.44) | 53.95% ( -0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.61% ( 0.37) | 75.4% ( -0.37) |
| Goias Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.22% ( 0.33) | 19.78% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.17% ( 0.53) | 51.83% ( -0.53) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.19% ( 0.03) | 40.81% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.61% ( 0.03) | 77.39% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Goias | Draw | Gimnasia |
| 1-0 @ 13.08% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 10.6% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 5.13% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.08% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.76% Total : 54.43% | 1-1 @ 11.72% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 8.07% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.75% Total : 24.8% | 0-1 @ 7.23% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.23% Total : 20.77% |
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