Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 75.8%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Cobresal had a probability of 8.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.15%) and 3-0 (10.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.46%), while for a Cobresal win it was 0-1 (3.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sao Paulo in this match.
-0.18) 
0.06) 
