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Brasileiro | Gameweek 36
Nov 29, 2023 at 11pm UK
Arena Fonte Nova
SP

Bahia
0 - 1
Sao Paulo


Yago (54'), Kanu (87'), Ratao (90'), Mugni (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Paulista (90+7')
Beraldo (81'), Costa (90+1'), Paulista (90+8')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Sao Paulo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Corinthians 1-5 Bahia
Saturday, November 25 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 0-0 Cuiaba
Sunday, November 26 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
BahiaDrawSao Paulo
41.89% (-0.203 -0.2) 27.12% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05) 30.99% (0.256 0.26)
Both teams to score 49.45% (0.254 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.28% (0.277 0.28)55.72% (-0.274 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.13% (0.227 0.23)76.86% (-0.22499999999999 -0.22)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.75% (0.019000000000005 0.02)26.25% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.64% (0.025999999999996 0.03)61.36% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.05% (0.331 0.33)32.94% (-0.328 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.47% (0.364 0.36)69.52% (-0.36 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Bahia 41.88%
    Sao Paulo 30.99%
    Draw 27.12%
BahiaDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 11.56% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-1 @ 8.59% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.74% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.83%
3-0 @ 3.45% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.13% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.15% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 41.88%
1-1 @ 12.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.65% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.77% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.12%
0-1 @ 9.6% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.13% (0.056 0.06)
0-2 @ 5.33% (0.039 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.64% (0.044 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.97% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 30.99%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Corinthians 1-5 Bahia
Saturday, November 25 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 1-1 Athletico PR
Sunday, November 12 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 0-3 Cuiaba
Thursday, November 9 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 1-0 Bahia
Saturday, November 4 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 1-0 Fluminense
Tuesday, October 31 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 1-0 Bahia
Saturday, October 28 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 0-0 Cuiaba
Sunday, November 26 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 1-0 Sao Paulo
Thursday, November 23 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Santos 0-0 Sao Paulo
Sunday, November 12 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-0 Bragantino
Wednesday, November 8 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-0 Cruzeiro
Thursday, November 2 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 1-1 Sao Paulo
Sunday, October 29 at 7pm in Brasileiro


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