With both teams having gone at least two games unbeaten in the league, this is expected to be a competitive affair. Fluminense can play without pressure courtesy of their Copa Libertadores success, but we feel that Sao Paulo are playing with enough confidence to earn a share of the spoils.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 52.07%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 23.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.66%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (7.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fluminense in this match.
0.5) 
-0.14) 
