SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 54.7%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Talleres had a probability of 20.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Talleres win it was 0-1 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sao Paulo | Draw | Talleres |
54.7% ( 1.21) | 24.85% ( -0.23) | 20.44% ( -0.98) |
| Both teams to score 46.91% ( -0.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.52% ( -0.18) | 54.47% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.16% ( -0.15) | 75.83% ( 0.15) |
| Sao Paulo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.13% ( 0.42) | 19.87% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.02% ( 0.67) | 51.98% ( -0.67) |
| Talleres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.54% ( -1.13) | 41.46% ( 1.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.04% ( -1.01) | 77.96% ( 1.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sao Paulo | Draw | Talleres |
| 1-0 @ 13.31% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 10.75% ( 0.35)2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.26)3-1 @ 5.1% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.06% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.72% Total : 54.7% | 1-1 @ 11.72% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.72% Total : 24.85% | 0-1 @ 7.25% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.22)0-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.18)1-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.16% Total : 20.44% |
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