SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 44.85%. A win for Lillestrom had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.55%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Lillestrom win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sarpsborg 08 would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sarpsborg 08 | Draw | Lillestrom |
44.85% ( -1.39) | 22.71% ( 0.32) | 32.44% ( 1.07) |
| Both teams to score 65.13% ( -0.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.41% ( -1.1) | 35.59% ( 1.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.35% ( -1.23) | 57.65% ( 1.23) |
| Sarpsborg 08 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.58% ( -0.93) | 16.42% ( 0.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.92% ( -1.72) | 46.08% ( 1.72) |
| Lillestrom Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.92% ( 0.07) | 22.08% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.57% ( 0.1) | 55.43% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sarpsborg 08 | Draw | Lillestrom |
| 2-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.38% ( -0.21)3-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 2.43% ( -0.18)4-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.12)4-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.64% Total : 44.85% | 1-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 6.75% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.2)3-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.71% | 1-2 @ 7.47% ( 0.2) 0-1 @ 5.48% ( 0.31)0-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.24)1-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.13)1-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.41% Total : 32.44% |
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