SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 45.22%. A win for Lillestrom had a probability of 31.77% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.02%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Lillestrom win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sarpsborg 08 would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sarpsborg 08 | Draw | Lillestrom |
45.22% ( 0.24) | 23.01% ( -0.13) | 31.77% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 63.66% ( 0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.61% ( 0.59) | 37.39% ( -0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.39% ( 0.64) | 59.61% ( -0.63) |
| Sarpsborg 08 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.02% ( 0.33) | 16.98% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.91% ( 0.58) | 47.09% ( -0.58) |
| Lillestrom Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.68% ( 0.22) | 23.32% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.73% ( 0.32) | 57.27% ( -0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sarpsborg 08 | Draw | Lillestrom |
| 2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.37% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.24% Total : 45.22% | 1-1 @ 10.22% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.01% | 1-2 @ 7.44% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.77% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.04% Total : 31.77% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
