SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 51.86%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 26.39% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.92%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | Groningen |
26.39% ( 0.08) | 21.74% ( 0.02) | 51.86% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 64.37% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.21% ( -0.04) | 34.78% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.24% ( -0.04) | 56.75% ( 0.04) |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.59% ( 0.03) | 25.4% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.78% ( 0.05) | 60.21% ( -0.05) |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.3% ( -0.05) | 13.7% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.07% ( -0.09) | 40.92% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | Groningen |
| 2-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.27% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.97% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.02% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.43% Total : 26.39% | 1-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.46% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.95% Other @ 0.37% Total : 21.74% | 1-2 @ 9.42% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.92% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.88% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 6.24% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.56% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 4.28% ( -0)1-4 @ 3.1% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.26% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 2.13% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 3.87% Total : 51.86% |
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