Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 67.04%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 14.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 1-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.64%), while for a VVV-Venlo win it was 1-2 (4.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.
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