Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 41.57%. A win for SC Paderborn had a probability of 34.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.47%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest SC Paderborn win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
0.06) 
-0.07) 
