SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 42.98%. A win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.81%) and 2-0 (5.87%). The likeliest Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-2 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SC Paderborn would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SC Paderborn | Draw | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
42.98% ( 0.35) | 23.16% ( 0.21) | 33.86% ( -0.56) |
| Both teams to score 63.96% ( -0.97) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.65% ( -1.2) | 37.35% ( 1.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.44% ( -1.31) | 59.56% ( 1.31) |
| SC Paderborn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.15% ( -0.35) | 17.85% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.39% ( -0.6) | 48.62% ( 0.6) |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.87% ( -0.85) | 22.13% ( 0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.49% ( -1.3) | 55.51% ( 1.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| SC Paderborn | Draw | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 2-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.32)2-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 5.08% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.89% Total : 42.98% | 1-1 @ 10.26% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.23)3-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.16% | 1-2 @ 7.74% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.96% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.89% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.08)2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.43% Total : 33.86% |
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