Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 46.24%. A win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest SV Darmstadt 98 win was 0-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
0.02) 
-0.02) 
