Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 42.61%. A win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.03%) and 0-2 (5.94%). The likeliest SV Darmstadt 98 win was 2-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Schalke 04 would win this match.
