Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karlsruher SC win with a probability of 44.11%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Karlsruher SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.12%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Karlsruher SC would win this match.
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