SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 37.32%. A win for Marine AFC had a probability of 36.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Marine AFC win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scunthorpe United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Marine AFC |
37.32% ( -0.7) | 25.69% ( 0.03) | 36.99% ( 0.67) |
| Both teams to score 55.33% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.22% ( -0.11) | 48.78% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.12% ( -0.1) | 70.88% ( 0.1) |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.47% ( -0.43) | 25.52% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.62% ( -0.6) | 60.38% ( 0.6) |
| Marine AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.29% ( 0.33) | 25.71% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.37% ( 0.44) | 60.63% ( -0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Marine AFC |
| 1-0 @ 8.96% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 3.78% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.56% Total : 37.32% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 8.27% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 3.74% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.51% Total : 36.99% |
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