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National League North | Gameweek 44
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Sands Venue Stadium

Scunthorpe
4 - 1
Hereford

Roberts (52'), Kouogun (55'), McAlinden (88'), Beestin (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Obadeyi (40')
Rooney (64')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Scunthorpe United and Hereford United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southport 0-1 Scunthorpe
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Banbury 1-2 Hereford
Wednesday, April 3 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 62.9%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Hereford United had a probability of 15.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.13%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Hereford United win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scunthorpe United would win this match.

Result
Scunthorpe UnitedDrawHereford United
62.9% (-1.473 -1.47) 21.78% (0.502 0.5) 15.33% (0.978 0.98)
Both teams to score 46.6% (0.793 0.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.06% (-0.186 -0.19)49.94% (0.193 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.07% (-0.165 -0.16)71.93% (0.17200000000001 0.17)
Scunthorpe United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.71% (-0.53 -0.53)15.29% (0.538 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.99% (-1.012 -1.01)44.01% (1.018 1.02)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.01% (1.276 1.28)44.99% (-1.27 -1.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.07% (1.003 1)80.93% (-0.997 -1)
Score Analysis
    Scunthorpe United 62.9%
    Hereford United 15.33%
    Draw 21.77%
Scunthorpe UnitedDrawHereford United
1-0 @ 12.92% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-0 @ 12.13% (-0.36 -0.36)
2-1 @ 9.69% (0.055 0.05)
3-0 @ 7.59% (-0.379 -0.38)
3-1 @ 6.06% (-0.081 -0.08)
4-0 @ 3.57% (-0.249 -0.25)
4-1 @ 2.85% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.42% (0.054 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.34% (-0.121 -0.12)
4-2 @ 1.14% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.07% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 62.9%
1-1 @ 10.31% (0.25 0.25)
0-0 @ 6.88% (0.054 0.05)
2-2 @ 3.87% (0.156 0.16)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 21.77%
0-1 @ 5.5% (0.233 0.23)
1-2 @ 4.12% (0.24 0.24)
0-2 @ 2.19% (0.166 0.17)
1-3 @ 1.1% (0.1 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.03% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 15.33%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Southport 0-1 Scunthorpe
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Scunthorpe 0-0 King's Lynn
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Spennymoor 1-0 Scunthorpe
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Warrington Town 0-2 Scunthorpe
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Scunthorpe 2-0 Banbury
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Bishop's Stortford 0-5 Scunthorpe
Saturday, March 9 at 3.15pm in National League North
Last Game: Banbury 1-2 Hereford
Wednesday, April 3 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 2-2 Buxton
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 4-1 Farsley Celtic
Saturday, March 23 at 3.30pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 2-0 Hereford
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 3-3 Alfreton
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 0-1 Chorley
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in National League North


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