SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 46.41%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 2-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
29.92% ( 0.04) | 23.66% ( -0.01) | 46.41% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 60.24% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.56% ( 0.07) | 41.44% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.16% ( 0.07) | 63.84% ( -0.07) |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.55% ( 0.06) | 26.44% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.38% ( 0.07) | 61.62% ( -0.07) |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.9% ( 0.02) | 18.1% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.96% ( 0.03) | 49.03% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
| 2-1 @ 7.24% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.23% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.21% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.88% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 2.28% Total : 29.93% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.66% | 1-2 @ 9.3% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.99% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.3% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.98% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.52% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.26% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.7% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.51% ( 0)Other @ 3.66% Total : 46.41% |
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