SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 45.66%. A win for Servette had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.25%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Servette win was 2-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Servette | Draw | Chelsea |
31.23% ( 0.54) | 23.11% ( 0.17) | 45.66% ( -0.7) |
| Both teams to score 62.99% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.85% ( -0.53) | 38.15% ( 0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.58% ( -0.57) | 60.42% ( 0.58) |
| Servette Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.99% ( 0.06) | 24.01% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.74% ( 0.08) | 58.26% ( -0.08) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.89% ( -0.47) | 17.11% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.68% ( -0.84) | 47.31% ( 0.85) |
| Score Analysis |
| Servette | Draw | Chelsea |
| 2-1 @ 7.38% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 3.51% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 2.85% Total : 31.23% | 1-1 @ 10.34% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.11% | 1-2 @ 9.13% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.25% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 6.4% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 5.38% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 3.84% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 2.37% ( -0.09)2-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.06)Other @ 4.16% Total : 45.66% |
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